Abortion Numbers Drop for Fifth Consecutive Year

By Randall K. O'Bannon
NRL Director of Research

For the fifth year in a row, the number of abortions performed in the United States has declined, according to a December 5, 1997, report, issued by the federal government's Centers for Disease Control (CDC).

According to the CDC, there were 1,210,883 abortions in 1995, a decrease of 4.5% from 1994 when there were 1,287,416. Because the CDC relies on information supplied by state and local health departments rather than actually surveying clinics, this figure probably represents an undercount of 150,000 to 200,000 abortions, putting the actual number somewhere between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000 (see graph and sidebar page 15).

Even so, this still represents a substantial drop either from the 1.6 million abortions recorded in 1990 by the Alan Guttmacher Institute (AGI), which directly surveys abortion clinics, or the 1,429,577 abortions reported by the CDC in 1990. Forty out of the CDC's 52 reporting areas (77%) reported fewer abortions than they had in 1994, confirming that this is a nationwide trend.

Abortion advocates were quick to attribute this to increased use of contraceptives, but the CDC cited other factors, including "attitudinal changes concerning the decision to have an abortion or to carry a pregnancy to term" as possible causes (Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 12/5/97).
What might account for these "attitudinal changes" about abortion?

Since 1989, 14 states have passed "right to know" legislation, making sure women are told not only of abortion's risks and realities, but also about alternatives that are better for them and their unborn children. Twenty-two states now have substantive parental involvement statutes in place, helping to protect teens from adolescent fears and exploitation by the abortion industry. Waiting periods and limits on taxpayer funding of abortion have also likely contributed to the decline. It was in 1995 that NRLC launched its campaign to stop partial-birth abortions, which helped many, for the first time, to realize that abortion really was about killing babies. That surely contributed to the "attitudinal changes" that reduced the numbers of abortions.

Moreover, in the last 25 years, millions of pieces of pro-life literature illustrating the development of the unborn child have been distributed, confirming what more and more women, in recent years, are seeing for themselves in sonograms and hearing on fetal stethoscopes - - that abortion stops a beating heart and ends the lives of children with hands, feet, and faces.

A closer look at the CDC's statistics lends credence to this explanation. Besides decreases in the number of abortions, there were also decreases in the abortion rate and abortion ratio.

The abortion rate is the number of abortions per 1,000 women of childbearing age. For 1995, the figure was 20 per 1,000 women ages 15 to 44, one less per thousand than in 1994, and four less per thousand than the 1990 rate of 29 per thousand - - a drop of 17%. It represents the lowest figure since 1975, when it was 18 abortions per 1,000 women of childbearing age.

The highest rate (25 per 1,000) was recorded in 1980. The abortion rate hovered around 23-24 per thousand from 1981 to 1992.

With a lowered abortion rate alone, however, the argument could be made that the drop was simply due to a decline in the number of pregnancies, either because of increased use of contraceptives or a shift in the population bubble within the age bracket from younger women to older, less fertile women. But two other pieces of statistical information indicate that these explanations are insufficient.

First, while there was a 4.5% decrease in the number of abortions between 1994 and 1995, there was only a 1.5% reduction in the number of live births. What this means is that, unless there was an enormous increase in the number of miscarriages and stillbirths (numbers not considered in CDC calculations), the decline in the number of abortions was probably several times greater than the overall decline in pregnancies. Thus, of those women who became pregnant, more were choosing life for their babies.

Second, the abortion ratio - - the number of abortions per 1,000 live births - - also showed a significant decline. It decreased from 321 per 1,000 in 1994 to 311 per 1,000 in 1995.

Because this figure does not include miscarriages and stillbirths, it cannot give a strict percentage of those pregnancies ending in abortion. Still, it does show that a substantially lower proportion of women are choosing to abort their babies than was the case between 1978 and 1990, when the ratio stabilized between 345 and 359 per thousand.

The last time the abortion ratio was near the 311 per thousand recorded for 1995 was in 1976, when the ratio was 312 per thousand.

The drop in the abortion ratio shows that it wasn't population shifts or the increased use of contraceptives that led to the decline in overall numbers, but the tireless efforts of people in the pro-life movement that have finally, in the last few years, begun to have an effect.

However, the news is not all good. In the New York Times article reporting on the 1995 CDC figures, there was mention of preliminary statistics for 1996 that indicate the numbers maybe going back up again.

While national statistics for 1996 are not available yet, some state and local health departments are reporting increases for 1996. In New York City, Florida, Illinois, Texas, Missouri, and several other states, there were increases over the previous year, some substantial.

No one knows precisely why this is the case. These increases do coincide with a massive publicity campaign by the abortion industry to promote chemical abortifacients as an "easy, safe, and simple" alternative to surgical abortion.
1

While the actual number of RU 486 and methotrexate abortions was, relatively speaking, small, the promotion of RU 486 has helped generate traffic for the abortion clinics. In July 1996, Gloria Feldt, president of Planned Parenthood, told a Food and Drug Administration panel, "Every time there is a news story about medical abortion women called Planned Parenthood."

Many clinics have already begun using the promise of chemical abortions as part of an advertising strategy to lure clients. "Abortion Pill Available" is already appearing in Yellow Pages ads and "medical abortions" featuring methotrexate are already being advertised in newspapers and on the Internet. Women who call or come in for the chemical abortions may be sold surgical abortions if the pills aren't available or the clinic decides they are medically inappropriate. Several of the states showing increases in the preliminary 1996 statistics were states in which testing of these chemical abortifacients was being done.

NRLC has taken the lead in educational efforts to counter pro-abortion attempts to give the drug a positive image by letting people know that chemical abortions are difficult and dangerous. NRLC has also promoted a consumer boycott of the consumer products of Hoechst Marion Roussel, the American subsidiary of the European companies re-sponsible for the development of RU 486. Unfortunately, until the day when there is full legal protection for the unborn in this country, there will always be new techniques and strategies pushed by the abortion industry.

The encouraging news is that pro-life efforts have made, and still can make a difference. The statistics tell us there are literally hundreds of thousands of babies alive today that wouldn't be here if it weren't for the hard work and sacrifices made by pro-lifers. There is still much to be done, but know that your work is not in vain.

1 The first large-scale trial of RU 486 was conducted in 1994 and 1995 and Planned Parenthood began its own trial of the abortion-inducing cancer drug methotrexate in 1996. In 1995 veteran pro-abortion activist Lawrence Lader also began testing an RU 486 clone in several states.

SEE SIDEBAR