September 16, 2010

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What Do We Know as of September 16?
Part One of Three

By Dave Andrusko

Good evening, and thanks for reading Today's News & Views. Part Two is a great reminder of the number of pro-life female candidates running for office in 2010. Part Three brings you the latest installment of the assisted suicide debate in Canada. Over at National Right to Life News Today (www.nationalrighttolifenews.org), you will read about a powerful guest column written by a mother who refuses to test to see whether her unborn child has Down Syndrome. Please send your comments on Today's News & Views and National Right to Life News Today todaveandrusko@gmail.com. If you like, join those who are following me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/daveha.

As I promised months ago, I am again providing summary overviews of what polling data and election results are telling us. Let me list five results, as of today. Please remember that NRLC is non-partisan. However there are very few pro-life Democrats running in this cycle and no Democratic Senate candidates are pro-life. In addition the votes of Democrats in the House and Senate gave us ObamaCare, which is riddled with provisions to advance the abortion agenda and usher in rationing.

· From the Associated Press's Liz Sidoti, based on new poll : "Overall, it's an extraordinarily dreary backdrop for Obama's beleaguered party. And with just seven weeks until Election Day, Democrats are running out of options to mitigate widespread expected losses of House, Senate and governor's seats from coast to coast on Nov. 2."

· That same Associated Poll-GfKpoll shows the electorate has reversed its opinion of whom it wants to take control Congress. From wanting Democrats (49% versus 37% for Republicans) to wanting Republicans (55% versus 39% for Democrats).

· "At the same time, 40 percent of likely voters call themselves tea party supporters, and most of them lean toward Republicans while nearly two-thirds have a deeply negative impression of Democrats," Sidoti reports. "That means the GOP could be in strong shape on Nov. 2 if tea party backers turn out and vote Republican. That's what they've been doing so far this year…"

A POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll, released today, is much more optimistic for Democrats, or--better put--less pessimistic. Their results found just as many people respond to the question, "If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your district?" (the "generic" vote), by citing Democrats as Republicans. Other sources find Republicans enjoying a growing advantage in the 'generic' vote. Nonetheless, "Voters, by a 9-point margin, believe Republicans will pick up both the House and the Senate." In addition Republicans again enjoy an "enthusiasm" advantage, according to the POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll.

· A New York Times poll reported this morning takes the same it-could work-out--for-either-party early on. However, as you go through the story, written by Jeff Zeleny and Megan Thee-Brenan, you find a far different slant. The operative six somber sentences are as follows:

"The mood of the country is similar in many respects to the fall of 1994, when Republicans swept control of Congress. There is an overall low Congressional approval, large numbers of Americans who believe the country is on the wrong track and soaring discontent among voters with their own representative. It is that particular finding in the poll that underscores the true depths of the disgruntlement among the public and is an ominous sign for Democrats, who have a 39-seat majority in the House and a 10-seat majority in the Senate. In many election cycles, voters readily acknowledge that they are dissatisfied with government or Congress in general, but they tend to have a stronger connection toward their own representative. That is not the case this year, with 55 percent of voters saying it is time for new leadership and only 34 percent saying their lawmaker deserves re-election. It is a historic high for a question asked in each midterm election year since 1990."

See Part Two for more on the political outlook following Tuesday's last round of primaries.

Part Two
Part Three

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