What Do We Know as of
September 16?
Part One of Three
By Dave Andrusko
Good evening, and
thanks for reading Today's News & Views.
Part Two is a great reminder of
the number of pro-life female candidates running for office in
2010. Part Three brings you the
latest installment of the assisted suicide debate in Canada.
Over at National Right to Life News Today (www.nationalrighttolifenews.org),
you will read about a powerful guest column written by a mother
who refuses to test to see whether her unborn child has Down
Syndrome. Please send your comments on Today's News & Views and
National Right to Life News Today
todaveandrusko@gmail.com. If you like, join those who are
following me on Twitter at
http://twitter.com/daveha.
As
I promised months ago, I am again providing summary overviews of
what polling data and election results are telling us. Let me
list five results, as of today. Please remember that NRLC is
non-partisan. However there are very few pro-life Democrats
running in this cycle and no Democratic Senate candidates are
pro-life. In addition the votes of Democrats in the House and
Senate gave us ObamaCare, which is riddled with provisions to
advance the abortion agenda and usher in rationing.
· From the Associated
Press's Liz Sidoti, based on new poll : "Overall, it's an
extraordinarily dreary backdrop for Obama's beleaguered party.
And with just seven weeks until Election Day, Democrats are
running out of options to mitigate widespread expected losses of
House, Senate and governor's seats from coast to coast on Nov.
2."
· That same Associated
Poll-GfKpoll shows the electorate has reversed its opinion of
whom it wants to take control Congress. From wanting Democrats
(49% versus 37% for Republicans) to wanting Republicans (55%
versus 39% for Democrats).
· "At the same time, 40
percent of likely voters call themselves tea party supporters,
and most of them lean toward Republicans while nearly two-thirds
have a deeply negative impression of Democrats," Sidoti reports.
"That means the GOP could be in strong shape on Nov. 2 if tea
party backers turn out and vote Republican. That's what they've
been doing so far this year…"
A POLITICO/George
Washington University Battleground Poll, released today, is much
more optimistic for Democrats, or--better put--less pessimistic.
Their results found just as many people respond to the question,
"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which
party's candidate would you vote for in your district?" (the
"generic" vote), by citing Democrats as Republicans. Other
sources find Republicans enjoying a growing advantage in the
'generic' vote. Nonetheless, "Voters, by a 9-point margin,
believe Republicans will pick up both the House and the Senate."
In addition Republicans again enjoy an "enthusiasm" advantage,
according to the POLITICO/George Washington University
Battleground Poll.
· A New York Times poll
reported this morning takes the same it-could
work-out--for-either-party early on. However, as you go through
the story, written by Jeff Zeleny and Megan Thee-Brenan, you
find a far different slant. The operative six somber sentences
are as follows:
"The mood of the country
is similar in many respects to the fall of 1994, when
Republicans swept control of Congress. There is an overall low
Congressional approval, large numbers of Americans who believe
the country is on the wrong track and soaring discontent among
voters with their own representative. It is that particular
finding in the poll that underscores the true depths of the
disgruntlement among the public and is an ominous sign for
Democrats, who have a 39-seat majority in the House and a
10-seat majority in the Senate. In many election cycles, voters
readily acknowledge that they are dissatisfied with government
or Congress in general, but they tend to have a stronger
connection toward their own representative. That is not the case
this year, with 55 percent of voters saying it is time for new
leadership and only 34 percent saying their lawmaker deserves
re-election. It is a historic high for a question asked in each
midterm election year since 1990."
See Part Two for more on
the political outlook following Tuesday's last round of
primaries.
Part Two
Part Three |