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Latest Polls and
Predictions Ominous for Pro-Abortion Democrats
Part Two of Four By Dave Andrusko Judging by the email, TN&V readers enjoy being kept up to date on the latest political rumblings. I will continue to do so, whether (as is the case now) the sounds are all pretty positive or whether they are not so harmonious. There is so much to cover, and the easiest way to do that is through bullet points.
· You already know from Monday through Wednesday's TN&Vs that the Gallup and Rasmussen Report numbers are positively off the charts for the GOP and that a well-respected University of Buffalo Political Scientist is projecting a loss of roughly 51 seats in the House for Democrats. Late yesterday, Larry Sabato, of the University of Virginia, offered his latest "Crystal Ball" musings. "At this moment," he wrote, "Republicans have a good chance to win the House by picking up as many as 47 seats, net." In the Senate he sees the GOP picking up 8 or nine seats. · Taking the Senate requires a net change of ten for Republicans. As Politico wrote, "Control of the U.S. Senate increasingly appears to hang on the fate of an unlikely trio of Democratic incumbents who were elected along with Bill Clinton in 1992, hail from liberal-leaning states and have lived mostly charmed political lives." That is a reference to Wisconsin, Washington, and California.' The good news is that there are strong pro-life Senate candidates in all three states. In Wisconsin, it's pro-life Ron Johnson (R) against pro-abortion Russ Feingold (D). On the West coast, in Washington pro-life Dino Rossi (R) is competing against still another incumbent pro-abortion Democrat, Patty Murray. And in California, pro-life Republican Carly Fiorina is taking on pro-abortion veteran Barbara Boxer (D). All the races are very, very close. · Yesterday Rasmussen Reports offered new numbers on "partisan trends"--the number of people identifying themselves as Democrats or Republicans It's not just that the advantage Democrats hold is down to 35% to 33.8%. The larger picture is that the number of Democrats has dropped a half-point in a month while the number of Republicans grew by 2% [www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends]. This is the "smallest gap between the parties heading into any of the recent campaign seasons." In August 2008 the Democrats enjoyed a 5.7% lead. Rasmussen adds, "Keep in mind that figures reported in this article are for all adults, not likely voters. Republicans are a bit more likely to participate in elections than Democrats." I'll have more for you tomorrow. Please send your comments on Today's News & Views and National Right to Life News Today to daveandrusko@gmail.com. If you like, join those who are following me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/daveha. |
