October 28, 2010

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What Can We Say Four Days From Mid-Term Elections?
Part One of Four

Good evening, and thanks for taking time to read Today's News & Views. Part Two affords you the opportunity to help air NRL Educational ads on the radio. Part Three brings you up to date on "web-cam" abortions in Iowa. Part Four lays out why ObamaCare will play a pivotal role next week. Over at National Right to Life News Today (www.nationalrighttolifenews.org), I write about how angry it makes pro-abortionists when pro-life African-Americans compare abortion to slavery. We link you to a video of Cardinal-designate Raymond Burke taking about educating Catholic voters. Finally, at the request of readers, I'm running the editorial from the October National Right to Life News. Please send your comments on Today's News & Views and National Right to Life News Today to daveandrusko@gmail.com. If you like, join those who are following me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/daveha.

By Dave Andrusko

The closer we get to November 2, the more the wheels seem to be coming off the Obama bus. And as much as they wish otherwise, many of the passengers--Democrats who voted for ObamaCare--are along for the ride. On Tuesday 37 Senate seats, all 435 House seats, and 37 of 50 state governorships are at stake.

· ABC's George Stephanopoulos, a partisan Democrat, tells us that if we want to look at one number coming out of yesterday's New York Times/CBS News poll, it is the startling turnaround among women. From Democrats enjoying an advantage of 7%, the latest numbers show Republicans up by 4%, an incredible turnaround of 11% in one month!

"If women choose Republicans over Democrats in House races on Tuesday, it will be the first time they have done so since exit polls began tracking the breakdown in 1982," explain Jim Rutenberg and Megan Thee-Brenan in the New York Times story about the poll.

But the reversal is far more widespread. "Republicans have wiped out the advantage held by Democrats in recent election cycles among women, Roman Catholics, less affluent Americans and independents," they write. "All of those groups broke for Mr. Obama in 2008 and for Congressional Democrats when they grabbed both chambers from the Republicans four years ago, according to exit polls."

No wonder the headline on the Times' story is "Obama Coalition is Fraying, Poll Finds."

· The same poll tells us that "Overall, 46 percent of likely voters said they would vote for Republicans and 40 percent said they would support Democrats." (Most crucially, 47% of independent likely voters say they plan to vote Republican, as compared to just 32% who say they plan to vote Democratic.)

· "President Obama's approval rating is 43 percent among registered voters and that." Worse yet, from the Democrats' point of view, asked "if Barack Obama supported a candidate for political office in your area, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for the candidate, or wouldn't it affect how you voted," twice as many said it would make them less likely (29%) as more likely (14%).

· There is more about the Obama affect from a Democratic-leaning polling company, referencing a congressional race in Wisconsin. "The problem for [the Democratic candidate] is that despite the fact that Obama won the district by 9 points in 2008, his approval rating there now is a 42/54 spread [42% favorable, 54% unfavorable] ," writes Public Policy Polling. "So if the race ends up being a referendum on Obama [the Democratic candidate is] going to lose. And there are dozens of other districts across the country where voters really know nothing about the candidates and are going to vote for the House based on their feelings about the President--for the most part that's going to be bad news for Democrats."

· According to Stuart Rothenberg, "With a week to go until Election Day, House Democrats face the potential of a political bloodbath the size of which we haven't seen since the presidency of Franklin Delano Roosevelt." But as Reuters' Jim Whitesides notes, "Dozens of races in both chambers are too close to call, and party committees and outside groups have poured millions of dollars into last-minute advertising buys to sway an electorate that has been in an anti-Washington mood all year." That is true, but what he omits is the effort of grassroots pro-lifers, which will be a key ingredient in many close races.

· There are countless other pieces of data that could be mentioned, but let me end with the latest out of Pennsylvania and Washington. Pro-Life Pat Toomey has regained the advantage he's enjoyed for months over pro-abortion Joe Stestak ( the range is +5% to +8%] while pro-life Dino Rossi is ahead by 1%, according to Rasmussen Reports, over pro-abortion incumbent Senator Patty Murray.

I hope you've helped those pro-lifers who might need assistance to vote early (where states allow). You can find this out at http://www.nrlc.org/News_and_Views/Sept10/nv091710part2.html.

Likewise, in competitive races NRLC is providing you with the kind of information you need to know where the candidates stand. Go to
http://stoptheabortionagenda.com/downloads/compare-the-candidates.

For further information about candidates, you can contact your NRLC state affiliate.

And please, PLEASE, pass along all these blog entries through your social networks.

Part Two
Part Three
Part Four

www.nrlc.org