A Largely Encouraging Snapshot of
Polling Data Twelve Days Out
Part One of FourBy Dave
Andrusko
Good evening, and thanks for taking
time out from your busy schedule to read Today's News & Views.
Part Two brings news of support from a
surprising source. Part Three updates you
on another case of a boyfriend attempting to coerce his girlfriend into
having an abortion. Part Four debunks still
another attempt to minimize the importance of pro-lifers. Over at National
Right to Life News Today (www.nationalrighttolifenews.org),
we are reminded that forced abortion still prevails in China. We also have a
video demonstrating just how anti-life pro-abortion Wisconsin Senator Russ
Feingold is. On the life-affirming side, there is a beautiful story about
the interaction of unborn twins and the news about the new cord blood bank
in Maryland. Please send your comments on Today's News & Views and National
Right to Life News Today to
daveandrusko@gmail.com. If you like, join those who are following me on
Twitter at http://twitter.com/daveha.
Twelve days to go before the November
2nd mid-term elections? Are you doing your part? I sure hope so. (See
http://www.nrlc.org/NewsToday/GetOuttheVote.html;
http://stoptheabortionagenda.com;
and
http://stoptheabortionagenda.com/downloads/compare-the-candidates)
There
is a ton of information that is helping to bring an unavoidably blurry
picture into sharper focus. But before I begin (as I always do), let me
re-emphasize one enduring political truth that never changes.
Whatever the particulars of a given
race, over time in most cases they will not remain static. That is another
way of saying that races almost inevitably tighten--in a direction that can
favor either the pro-life candidate or the pro-abortion candidate. The
proper response always is to work harder.
So what's new?
-
Arguably the most startling
revelation in months. In 2006 (the last off-year elections) the
percentage of female likely voters who said they'd vote for Democrats
was almost exactly six in ten (59%). An anemic 36% (just barely more
than one in three) said they'd vote for Republicans. By contrast in
2010, 49% of female likely voters say they will vote for the GOP while
46% told USA Today/Gallup they'd vote for Democrats. If, like me, you
are arithmetically challenged, that is a 26% improvement--from down 23%
to up 3%.
-
Equally grim news for Democrat s from
an Associated Press-GfK poll of likely voters. To pick just two numbers
from the story by Liz Sidoti,
"61 percent expect the GOP to win control of Congress; 33 percent think
Democrats will maintain control." And
"52 percent have a favorable impression of the GOP; 44 percent view the
Democratic Party positively."
-
From a Wall Street Journal/NBC News
poll, "Among likely voters, Republicans hold a 50% to 43% edge, up from
a three-percentage-point lead a month ago," writes Jonathan Weisman for
the Wall Street Journal. "In the broader category of registered voters,
46% favor a Democratic-controlled Congress, compared with 44% who want
Republican control. But in the 92 House districts considered most
competitive, the GOP's lead among registered voters is 14 points,
underscoring the Democrats' challenge in maintaining their hold on the
House." (Emphasis added.) Moreover, "The Republican edge in intensity of
support, after falling from a 19-point lead in August to a 14-point lead
in September, is now at 20 percentage points," Weisman reports '"After
seven weeks of a powerful counteroffensive, the dynamics haven't
changed,' [Republican pollster Bill McInturff] said. "And it's unlikely
the Democratic House will be left standing." (McInturff conducted the
poll with Democratic pollster Peter Hart.)
-
"Barack Obama averaged 44.7% job
approval during the seventh quarter of his presidency," writes Gallup's
Jeffrey M. Jones. "His average approval rating has declined each quarter
since he took office, falling by more than two percentage points in the
most recent quarter to establish a new low."
So, are you doing your part?
Part
Two
Part Three
Part Four |