October 21, 2010

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A Largely Encouraging Snapshot of Polling Data Twelve Days Out
Part One of Four

By Dave Andrusko

Good evening, and thanks for taking time out from your busy schedule to read Today's News & Views. Part Two brings news of support from a surprising source. Part Three updates you on another case of a boyfriend attempting to coerce his girlfriend into having an abortion. Part Four debunks still another attempt to minimize the importance of pro-lifers. Over at National Right to Life News Today (www.nationalrighttolifenews.org), we are reminded that forced abortion still prevails in China. We also have a video demonstrating just how anti-life pro-abortion Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold is. On the life-affirming side, there is a beautiful story about the interaction of unborn twins and the news about the new cord blood bank in Maryland. Please send your comments on Today's News & Views and National Right to Life News Today to daveandrusko@gmail.com. If you like, join those who are following me on Twitter at http://twitter.com/daveha.

Twelve days to go before the November 2nd mid-term elections? Are you doing your part? I sure hope so. (See http://www.nrlc.org/NewsToday/GetOuttheVote.html; http://stoptheabortionagenda.com; and http://stoptheabortionagenda.com/downloads/compare-the-candidates)

There is a ton of information that is helping to bring an unavoidably blurry picture into sharper focus. But before I begin (as I always do), let me re-emphasize one enduring political truth that never changes.

Whatever the particulars of a given race, over time in most cases they will not remain static. That is another way of saying that races almost inevitably tighten--in a direction that can favor either the pro-life candidate or the pro-abortion candidate. The proper response always is to work harder.

So what's new?

  • Arguably the most startling revelation in months. In 2006 (the last off-year elections) the percentage of female likely voters who said they'd vote for Democrats was almost exactly six in ten (59%). An anemic 36% (just barely more than one in three) said they'd vote for Republicans. By contrast in 2010, 49% of female likely voters say they will vote for the GOP while 46% told USA Today/Gallup they'd vote for Democrats. If, like me, you are arithmetically challenged, that is a 26% improvement--from down 23% to up 3%.

  • Equally grim news for Democrat s from an Associated Press-GfK poll of likely voters. To pick just two numbers from the story by Liz Sidoti,
    "61 percent expect the GOP to win control of Congress; 33 percent think Democrats will maintain control." And
    "52 percent have a favorable impression of the GOP; 44 percent view the Democratic Party positively."

  • From a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll, "Among likely voters, Republicans hold a 50% to 43% edge, up from a three-percentage-point lead a month ago," writes Jonathan Weisman for the Wall Street Journal. "In the broader category of registered voters, 46% favor a Democratic-controlled Congress, compared with 44% who want Republican control. But in the 92 House districts considered most competitive, the GOP's lead among registered voters is 14 points, underscoring the Democrats' challenge in maintaining their hold on the House." (Emphasis added.) Moreover, "The Republican edge in intensity of support, after falling from a 19-point lead in August to a 14-point lead in September, is now at 20 percentage points," Weisman reports '"After seven weeks of a powerful counteroffensive, the dynamics haven't changed,' [Republican pollster Bill McInturff] said. "And it's unlikely the Democratic House will be left standing." (McInturff conducted the poll with Democratic pollster Peter Hart.)

  • "Barack Obama averaged 44.7% job approval during the seventh quarter of his presidency," writes Gallup's Jeffrey M. Jones. "His average approval rating has declined each quarter since he took office, falling by more than two percentage points in the most recent quarter to establish a new low."

So, are you doing your part?

Part Two
Part Three
Part Four

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