Senate Races Grow More and
More Competitive
Part Two of Three
By Dave Andrusko
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Pro-life Republican
Carly Fiorina (right) is giving
Senator Barbara Boxer all she can handle. |
Three headlines, two
positive, one negative. One read, "[Senator Barbara] Boxer in
closest match of her career." The advantage formerly enjoyed by
Boxer, who never shirks from vigorously attacking her opponents,
is now within the statistical margin of error, according to
reporter Darren Samuelsohn. Pro-life Republican Carly Fiorina is
giving Boxer all she can handle, including calmly deflecting
what Samuelsohn calls Boxer's use of "red-meat rhetoric,"
particularly on abortion.
In Washington state, the
chattering class had come to a rolling consensus that
pro-abortion incumbent Patty Murray (D) was pulling away from
pro-life Republican Dino Rossi. Two recent polls show a
tightening of the context, according to Shira Toepliz. The most
recent--taken over the weekend and released Monday--showed
Murray's lead down to 2%--49% to 47%.
The outlier--the poll that
is all out of whack with polls conducted for months--has
pro-life Republican Pat Toomey trailing pro-abortion Democrat
Joe Sestak by 1%. The poll comes from what accounts politely
call the "Democratic-allied Public Policy Polling." This same
company, in August, found that Toomey, a former three-term
congressman, held a 9 percentage-point edge.
So, it is more likely that
the race is more competitive, no particular surprise, than that
Sestak is ahead. It does means that Toomey and his supporters
will have to work even harder over the next 12 days.
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Part Three
Part One |