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Today's News & Views
March 17, 2010
 
Wall Street Journal/NBC News Poll Shows Public Believes Obamacare a "Bad Idea"
Part One of Three

By Dave Andrusko

Please send your comments on any or all parts to daveandrusko@gmail.com. Part Two examines the political muscle President Obama and Congressional Democratic Leaders are applying to Democrats reluctant to vote for Obamacare. Part Three is the all-important Action Alert that you should respond to and pass along to others. Thanks!

As everyone knows, you can find in almost any public opinion poll some result that supports any of a wide variety of points of view. But more importantly there is virtually always one bottom line result that stands head and shoulders above the others.

Pro-abortion House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Ca.)

In the new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll it's this one. Given a stark choice, 48% of 1,000 adults questioned said pending health-care legislation is a "bad idea," versus 36% who view it as a "good idea." Democrats can attempt to tease out consoling conclusions (although they ultimately frame it as Democratic candidates having essentially no option but to support the measure), but that does not change the bottom line: the public doesn't like what the poll describes as "Barack Obama's health care plan."

In a tremendous bind, Obama and pro-abortion Democratic congressional leadership are already offering a two-sided argument why Democrats should ignore this 12% point gap.

First, they are telling their wavering members that their core party supporters are strongly in favor--64%-16% . That's the positive. Second, they point out there is an enormous "enthusiasm gap" between the parties. That's the negative.

67% of Republicans say they are very interested in the November elections. By contrast only 46% of Democrats say they are very interested-- a whopping 21-point gap.

The Democratic pollster Peter Hart, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff, told the Wall Street Journal, "If the Democrats are going to close that gap, they've got to get their people excited. And I don't see how you get those people if you vote no" on the party's health-care legislation.

To add emphasis Hart said, "I don't think it's about winning the middle. It's really about alienating the base."

Pro-abortion House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and
pro-abortion House Majority Leader Stony Hoyer

In other words, given the wider public's strong opposition, the only chance Democrats have is to fire up their diehards by enacting "Barack Obama's health care plan." I suppose you have to say something, but this is really out of left field and misses two obvious considerations.

Public response to the process. Without wadding deep into inside baseball, virtually everyone knows that the House Democratic leadership is sending up trial balloons in an attempt to gauge how ballistic the public would go (not to mention Republicans) if Speaker Nancy Pelosi employs extremely questionable parliamentary procedures. They are telling reporters publicly, and members privately, that in 7 1/2 months nobody will remember how the bill came to be enacted.

It is hard to believe Pelosi and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer actually believe that "the aura of victory that would surround passage of the biggest piece of social legislation in decades would boost its popularity," as the Wall Street Journal described it, but that's the party line and they're sticking to it.

Swinging and Missing. The other consideration this don't-worry-just-trust-Nancy stratagem misses is (as many nervous Democrats know all too well) that they occupy swing districts, including districts that typically elect Republicans. The result of a survey conducted for the Independent Women's Voice "of 1,200 registered voters in 35 districts represented by members who could determine the outcome of the health-care debate," write Heather R. Higgins and Kellyanne E. Conway, "shows astonishing intensity and sharp opposition to reform, far more than national polls reflect."

In the interest of time, let me offer just one more quote.

"For 82% of those surveyed, the heath-care bill is either the top or one of the top three issues for deciding whom to support for Congress next November. (That number goes to 88% among independent women.) Sixty percent want Congress to start from scratch on a bipartisan health-care reform proposal or stop working on it this year. Majorities say the legislation will make them and their loved ones (53%), the economy (54%) and the U.S. health-care system (55%) worse off--quite the trifecta."

Put another way, "Voters in key congressional districts are clear in their opposition to what they have seen, read and heard on health-care reform."

All this not withstanding, congressional Democrats, especially pro-life Democrats, are under tremendous pressure. (See Part Two.) Your voice is needed as we move down to the wire on Obamacare.

If you have not gone to www.capwiz.com/nrlc/callalert/index.tt?alertid=14772666&type=CO and/or shared this Action Alert with all your pro-life friends, please do so immediately.

Part Two
Part Three