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A Premature Coronation?
Editor's note. If you have thoughts,
please drop me a line at
daveandrusko@hotmail.com.
Yesterday we encouraged you to visit
two exciting new web sites:
www.stopobamainfo.org and
www.mccainprolife.org. These two sites are founts of vitally important
information about the 2008 presidential election.
In addition to the abortion positions
and voting records and statements of Senators John McCain and Barack Obama,
one of the many other features that will show up on these two sites, created
by NRL PAC, will be stories just like this one to keep you up to date.
Polls are suggestive, often likened to
a "snapshot." This is true, because where the public seems to be today may
turn out to be miles from their final destination. Just ask "Presidents"
Michael Dukakis and John Kerry.
What we can say in the immediate
aftermath of Obama's whirlwind trip aboard can be summarized in two related
categories.
#1. For all the adulation a
fawning press wrapped him in during his foreign policy trip, Obama does not
seem to have benefited much. He remains somewhere between three and six
percentage points ahead of McCain in most polls. (Rasmussen has the margin
at 2%.) But yesterday USA Today revealed the results of a poll conducted for
the newspaper by Gallup which found McCain ahead of Obama by four percentage
points among "likely voters" (as opposed to, say, registered voters), a
ten-point swing among this category for McCain in just one month.
This inability to "seal the deal" is
disconcerting to the Obama campaign and its hordes of media supporters. It's
too much like what happened after he accrued a decisive delegate advantage
over Senator Hillary Clinton: she pummeled him in the last phase of the
primaries.
But it's easy to understand and
unintentionally quite funny.
As many have pointed out, this
election is a referendum on the unknown Obama. In that sense the picture of
Obama is like an old Polaroid instamatic whose photos gradually developed
from blurry to opaque to clear. People aren't ready to commit to someone
they correctly sense they barely know.
#2. There are some who argue
that Obama of late has been getting worse press than McCain. This is hard to
swallow on any level. Suffice it to say that this counter-intuitive
assessment does not take into account the glorious visuals that basked the
presumptive Democratic presidential nominee in an uncritical glow. Nor does
it count the impact of the three networks sending their lead anchors along
with him, treating Obama's trip as if it were a coronation for the next
President.
What is true is that there is a
natural re-evaluation that always tamps down the media's love affair with
the front runner (however briefly) which is compounded by the Obama
campaign's tight grip on access to the candidate which ticks off reporters.
This means there will be occasions,
like yesterday's column by the Washington Post's Richard Cohen, which begin
with Cohen asking an unnamed prominent Obama supporter to "Just tell me one
thing Barack Obama has done that you admire." And the very telling answer
will be very similar to the one he/she gave to Cohen--not a substantive
policy or bill, but Obama's spellbinder of a speech to the 2004 Democratic
National Convention. But these will be blips on the screen, an occasional
bump in the road.
It is still impolite in a lot of
circles to raise questions about Obama, given that his candidacy is
"historic" and "about the future" and about "giving us hope." But day by
day, however slowly, doubts are beginning to crop up.
Which is all the more reason why you
should be accessing
www.stopobamainfo.org and
www.mccainprolife.org and passing that information along to your
friends, family, and colleagues. |