Decoding the 2008 Presidential Election
Part One of TwoEditor's note.
There was an incorrect address in the first paragraph of
yesterday's edition. My apologies for the error. When the
correct address is available, I will promptly pass it along.
Please read Part
Two as well. Babies prenatally diagnosed with Down syndrome
are in more danger than ever. Your comments at
daveandrusko@gmail.com
are appreciated.
For a whole host of reasons, we are still in
the preliminary stage of decoding what "exit polls" from the
2008 election supposedly tell/will tell us. Yesterday at USA
Today's "Faith and Reason," managed by Cathy Lynn Grossman, you
can find an interesting take on "Religion and the 2008 election:
Surprising finds." [http://content.usatoday.com/communities/religion/post/2008/12/59603038/1]
Let me offer the two lead paragraphs:
The exit polls aren't released yet but early
studies by political scientist John Green and democratic
pollster Anna Greenberg, find the race and religiosity --
whether one attends weekly worship -- are just as polarizing as
they were in 2004.
"It's a new version of an old story" said
Green, a senior fellow in religion and American politics at the
Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life, which sponsored the seminar
today in Key West.
I have no idea if the first sentence of the
next paragraph is true, but here it is.
The differences that added up to a Barack
Obama win, not a John Kerry loss, were a movement to the
democratic column by greater numbers of Hispanic Catholics,
other minority Catholics and Protestants such as Asians, and
less-observant (attending church less than weekly, if ever)
white Catholics. Obama made no inroads among observant white
evangelicals.
What makes this nearly-first draft of
political history interesting for us is two-fold.
First, within "virtually every group," a
majority says "they think the newly elected president will be
successful in his first term, a significantly higher number than
those who said the same for Bush in 2004."
There is a welter of important reasons why
Barack Obama is the first African-American President that we
needn't go into here. But it only makes sense that people will
want to believe he will have a successful first term for many of
the same reasons they voted for a man about whom they knew
virtually nothing. In both instances it represents the triumph
of hope over inexperience.
But then there is the second nugget from this
column. The under-30 set, while "more progressive" on other
social issues, was not on abortion, according to Democratic
pollster Greenberg. "And because young adults are statistically
also less likely to attend church weekly," adds Grossman, "their
roll-out for Obama may have been a significant factor in his
boost in votes among non-observant white evangelicals."
This is very important. Younger voters,
religious or otherwise, are increasingly pro-life. Among young
white Evangelicals, many polls have revealed that they are even
more pro-life than their parents.
Grossman suggests there are "other open
questions that only more polls, more elections, may answer."
They include,
• "Will younger voters, including young
evangelicals, who tiptoed into the Democratic column for the
first time, stay there or is it just a matter of the Obama
effect?
• "What may happen once Obama takes actions
that relate to abortion such as appointing pro-choice judges?"
[And, of course, Obama will be undertaking many, many
pro-abortion initiatives besides nominating pro-abortion judges
and justices.]
For many voters, Obama was like mood music.
Nobody was listening much to the lyrics and when they did, they
found bland, warm-and- fuzzy assurances.
What happens when quasi-rock star Barack Obama
steps forth on a new stage--the Presidency--and all those words
of hope and reconciliation and "common ground" are revealed for
what they are: dust in the wind? Of course, these revelations
will not happen on their own.
Obama's actions will be swathed in disguises,
some old, some new. And the ever-supplicant media will not be
eager to wipe away the make-up or take a peak to see what lies
underneath the rhetorical mask Obama will don.
No, the responsibility to tell the American
people the truth rests on us. That's why TN&V exists. That's why
National Right to Life News matters.
I can only ask you to please forward TN&V to
your pro-life friends and encourage them to subscribe on their
own (it's free, of course). And as Christmas draws near, a gift
subscription to NRL News, the "pro-life newspaper of record,"
would be a terrific gesture. (See
http://nrlc.org/news/GiftSubscribe.html.)
If you can, please read
Part Two. Babies prenatally
diagnosed with Down syndrome are in more danger than ever. |