October 6, 2010

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Newspaper Surveys Fate of "Endangered Freshmen Dems"

By Dave Andrusko

The following four quotes from three stories running in today's edition of "The Hill" newspaper demonstrate that if you voted for ObamaCare, you can run but you can't hide from voters. Indeed, if you are in highly competitive races--and a freshman Democrat-- Obama is radioactive.

"In a poll of 12 hotly contested races that could decide who controls the House in the 112th Congress, Republican challengers are beating freshman Democrats in 11 -- and in the last one, the race is tied."

And

"Two-thirds of voters in key battleground districts will be thinking about President Obama when they choose their next member of Congress, according to a 2010 midterm election poll from The Hill and ANGA."

And

When asked if they wanted the legislation [ObamaCare] repealed, 56 percent of voters in the surveyed districts said yes. 'Only Democrats were opposed to repeal (23 percent to 64 percent),' [Pollster Mark ]Penn said. 'Undecided voters wanted the healthcare law repealed by 49 percent to 27 percent.' In each district, a majority of those surveyed said they want the controversial law gone."

And, most illustrative of all,

"One telling finding is that only 42 percent of respondents said they recalled voting for Obama in 2008 even though the president received, on average, 53 percent of the vote in those districts."

At a time when voters are on the prowl for supporters of ObamaCare, it's pretty clear that (a) you better hope you didn't vote for this monstrosity, and (b) your constituents forget that the head of your party is pro-abortion President Barack Obama.

Almost all Democrats did support ObamaCare, assured by Obama and Senate Majority Reid and House Speaker Pelosi that a highly skeptical public would warm to the "Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2020." However, as demonstrated by the Hill/ANGA poll (and dozens of other polls), this has not happened, as we predicted even before the bill was signed into law in March. Half the Independents in these 12 competitive districts--the group that will decide these elections-- want it repealed, a promise that is at the crux of most Republicans campaigns.

And even though many pro-abortion Democrats are avoiding being seen in public with Obama, voters know they not only are of the same party but that these congressmen and congresswomen also voted to put the ultra-partisan Nancy Pelosi in the top leadership position. Why does that matter?

Americas are intuitively skeptical of one-party control the executive and legislative branches. Those fears were assuaged, or at least put on hold, by Obama's sunny promise of putting an end to the "old politics." But once in office, the gloomy Obama has proven to be the most polarizing President of the modern era. And people fully understand that it was because Democrats were unchecked that ObamaCare was possible. It is no exaggeration to say that a sizeable portion of the electorate is scared out of their boots by this near-monopoly of power.

That is why another part of the Hill/ANGA poll produced the unsurprising result that "51 percent of self-described independents prefer the president and Congress to come from different parties" and that "43 percent of independents said they would vote for the Republican in their district, compared to 34 percent who said they would vote for the Democrats."

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